The NAAIM Survey of Manager Sentiment

The NAAIM Survey of Manager Sentiment

The red line shows the close of the S&P 500 Total Return Index on the survey date.  The bars depict a two-week moving average of the NAAIM managers' responses.

 

52.78

Last Quarter Average

54.04%



Date NAAIM Number
Mean/Average
Bearish Quart 1 Quart 2 Quart 3 Bullish Deviation
9/1/2010 52.78 -125 20.00 50.00 80.00 200 62.56
8/25/2010 43.94 -60 20.00 50.00 66.25 200 55.91
8/18/2010 56.08 -125 42.75 50.00 78.75 155 53.95
8/11/2010 54.68 -125 30.00 60.00 90.00 200 70.17
8/4/2010 59.11 -125 28.75 60.00 100.00 200 58.52
7/28/2010 50.21 -125 22.00 40.00 96.00 200 63.65
7/21/2010 45.33 -125 17.00 40.00 65.00 200 55.50
7/14/2010 49.85 -125 21.50 50.00 80.00 200 52.38

Download Excel file with data since inception.

 

NAAIM member firms who are active money managers are asked each week to provide a number which represents their overall equity exposure at the market close on a specific day of the week, currently Wednesdays. Responses can vary widely as indicated below. Responses are tallied and averaged to provide the average long (or short) position or all NAAIM managers, as a group.

Range of Responses 200%   Leveraged Short
100%   Fully Short
0%   100% Cash or Hedged to Market Neutral
100%   Fully Invested
200%   Leveraged Long.

Data collection issues that may affect the statistical significance of this data include:

Use of a single, composite number for each adviser may not accurately represent the market view of a manager who has short term and long term strategies that are providing conflicting signals or a manager who uses both contra-trend and trend following strategies for different portfolios.

Investment Styles very widely among managers participating in this survey. They may include managers that trade very frequently and can switch long and short positions daily. Other managers stay fully invested at all times and only change allocations among market segments or sectors. Still others trade around core positions and only a portion of their portfolios change, but that portion could potentially go from long to short very quickly.

Sample size: Although the number of participating managers, known as NAAIM Trend Setters, is steadily growing the sample size is not large and therefore may be less reflective of actual market conditions.



Request Releases

To receive NAAIM news releases please complete the Media Contact Form



NAAIM NEWS ROOM

To request an interview, please contact:
Susan Truesdale
NAAIM Administrator
Phone: 888-261-0787
info@naaim.org