NAAIM Exposure Index

After great consideration, NAAIM has decided to change the name of its weekly manager survey.

 The survey will now be known as the NAAIM Exposure Index, a name change which the association thinks will better reflect the survey’s intent, which is to average our member’s exposure to US Equity markets.  The weekly survey average has also been referred to as the “NAAIM Number”, both in association communications and on this website.

*Graph down for repairs*

The green line shows the close of the S&P 500 Total Return Index on the survey date. The purple line depicts a two-week moving average of the NAAIM managers’ responses.

Download Excel file with data since inception »
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Range of Responses:

200% Leveraged Short
100% Fully Short
0% (100% Cash or Hedged to Market Neutral)
100% Fully Invested
200% Leveraged Long

Data collection issues that may affect the statistical significance of this data include:

Use of a single, composite number for each adviser may not accurately represent the market view of a manager who has short term and long term strategies that are providing conflicting signals or a manager who uses both contra-trend and trend following strategies for different portfolios.

Investment Styles very widely among managers participating in this survey. They may include managers that trade very frequently and can switch long and short positions daily. Other managers stay fully invested at all times and only change allocations among market segments or sectors. Still others trade around core positions and only a portion of their portfolios change, but that portion could potentially go from long to short very quickly.

Sample size: Although the number of participating managers, known as NAAIM Trend Setters, is steadily growing the sample size is not large and therefore may be less reflective of actual market conditions.